{"id":3936,"date":"2025-03-10T19:05:00","date_gmt":"2025-03-10T23:05:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/2025\/03\/10\/short-covering-and-technical-buying-lifts-sugar-prices\/"},"modified":"2025-03-10T19:05:00","modified_gmt":"2025-03-10T23:05:00","slug":"short-covering-and-technical-buying-lifts-sugar-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/2025\/03\/10\/short-covering-and-technical-buying-lifts-sugar-prices\/","title":{"rendered":"Short-Covering and Technical Buying Lifts Sugar Prices"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"layout__region nsdq-l-grid__item syndicated-article-body\">\n<section class=\"jupiter22-c-article-body\">\n<div class=\"body\">\n<div class=\"body__content\">\n<p>May NY world sugar #11 (SBK25) Monday closed up +0.54 (+2.95), and May London ICE white sugar #5 (SWK25) closed up +5.90 (+1.12%).<\/p>\n<p>Sugar prices Monday rose to 1-week highs on short covering and technical buying after last week&#8217;s sell-off.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ads__inline\">\n<div id=\"js-dfp-tag-dEs\"  class=\"btf-bodymidpagetwothirdswidth-1\">          <script type=\"text\/javascript\">         googletag.cmd.push(function() {             \/\/ Check if ID matches ID in the window.adsList array before calling googletag.display             function isAdInAdsList(id) {             for (var i = 0; i < window.adsList.length; i++) {                 if (window.adsList[i].id === id) {                     return true;                 }             }             return false;         }         if (isAdInAdsList('js-dfp-tag-dEs')) {             googletag.display('js-dfp-tag-dEs');         }         });     <\/script> <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>     <span>Commodity Bulletin: <\/span> From crude oil to coffee, this FREE newsletter is for industry pros and rookies alike  <\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Last Thursday, sugar prices fell to 6-week lows due to demand concerns and abundant supplies. \u00a0Weak demand hammered sugar prices after sugar traders Wilmar International Ltd and Sucres et Denrees SA took record delivery of 1.7 MMT of raw sugar against the March NY futures contract that expired on February 28. \u00a0Large deliveries are typically considered bearish for prices, indicating that sellers have few other markets to sell to. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Also on the bearish side for sugar was the report from sugar trader Czarnikow on February 27 that projected Brazil's 2025\/26 sugar production would climb to a record 43.6 MMT, since producing sugar is more profitable than ethanol. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the International Sugar Organization (ISO) last Thursday raised its 2024\/25 global sugar deficit forecast to -4.88 MMT from a November forecast of -2.51 MMT, showing a tightening market from the 2023\/24 global sugar surplus of 1.31 MMT. \u00a0Last Thursday, the ISO also cut its 2024\/25 global sugar production forecast to 175.5 MMT from a November forecast of 179.1 MMT. \u00a0For its part, Green Pool Commodity Specialists on February 5 projected that the global sugar market will shift to a surplus of +2.7 MMT in the 2025\/26 crop year from its estimate of a deficit of -3.7 MMT in 2024\/25.<\/p>\n<p>Sugar prices have support from last Friday's news that India's sugar production fell -14% yr\/yr to 21.98 MMT in the marketing year-to-date from October 1 through February 28, according to the India Sugar and Bio-Energy Manufacturers Association.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ads__inline\">\n<div id=\"js-dfp-tag-2ik\"  class=\"btf-bodymidpagetwothirdswidth-2\">          <script type=\"text\/javascript\">         googletag.cmd.push(function() {             \/\/ Check if ID matches ID in the window.adsList array before calling googletag.display             function isAdInAdsList(id) {             for (var i = 0; i < window.adsList.length; i++) {                 if (window.adsList[i].id === id) {                     return true;                 }             }             return false;         }         if (isAdInAdsList('js-dfp-tag-2ik')) {             googletag.display('js-dfp-tag-2ik');         }         });     <\/script> <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>In a bearish factor, the Indian government said on January 20 that it would allow its sugar mills to export 1 MMT of sugar this season, easing the restrictions placed on sugar exports in 2023. \u00a0India has restricted sugar exports since October 2023 to maintain adequate domestic supplies. \u00a0India allowed mills to export only 6.1 MMT of sugar during the 2022\/23 season to September 30 after allowing exports of a record 11.1 MMT in the previous season. \u00a0However, the India Sugar Mills Association (ISMA) projects that India's 2024\/25 sugar production will fall -15% y\/y to a 5-year low of 27.27 MMT.<\/p>\n<p>The outlook for higher sugar production in Thailand is bearish for sugar prices. \u00a0On October 29, Thailand's Office of the Cane and Sugar Board projected that Thailand's 2024\/25 sugar production would jump by +18% y\/y to 10.35 MMT. \u00a0Thailand produced 8.77 MMT of sugar in the 2023\/24 season that ended in April. \u00a0Thailand is the world's third-largest sugar producer and the second-largest sugar exporter.<\/p>\n<p>Drought and excessive heat last year caused fires in Brazil that damaged sugar crops in Brazil's top sugar-producing state of Sao Paulo. \u00a0Green Pool Commodity Specialists noted that as much as 5 MMT of sugar cane may have been lost due to the fires. \u00a0Conab, Brazil's government crop forecasting agency, cut its 2024\/25 Brazil sugar production estimate from November 21 to 44 MMT from a previous forecast of 46 MMT, citing lower sugarcane yields due to drought and excessive heat. \u00a0Unica reported Wednesday that cumulative 2024\/25 Center-South sugar output through mid-February fell -5.6% y\/y to 39.812 MMT. \u00a0<\/p>\n<div class=\"taboola-placeholder\">\n<div id=\"taboola-mid-article-thumbnails\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>                 <script type=\"text\/javascript\">                     !function (e, f, u) {                     e.async = 1;                     e.src = u; f.parentNode.insertBefore(e, f);                     }(document.createElement('script'), document.getElementsByTagName('script')[0], '\/\/cdn.taboola.com\/libtrc\/nasdaq-nasdaq\/loader.js');                     window._taboola = window._taboola || [];                     _taboola.push({                       mode: 'thumbnails-a-mid',                       container: 'taboola-mid-article-thumbnails',                       placement: 'Mid Article Thumbnails',                       target_type: 'mix'                     });                     _taboola.push({article:'auto', url:''});                 <\/script><\/p>\n<p>The USDA, in its bi-annual report released November 21, projected that global 2024\/25 sugar production would climb +1.5% y\/y to a record 186.619 MMT and that global 2024\/25 human sugar consumption would increase +1.2% y\/y to a record 179.63 MMT. \u00a0The USDA also forecasted that 2024\/25 global sugar ending stocks would decline -6.1% y\/y to 45.427 MMT.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"body__disclaimer\">     On the date of publication,      Rich Asplund              did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy          here. <\/p>\n<div class=\"ads__inline\">\n<div id=\"js-dfp-tag--cw\"  class=\"btf-bodymidpagetwothirdswidth-3\">          <script type=\"text\/javascript\">         googletag.cmd.push(function() {             \/\/ Check if ID matches ID in the window.adsList array before calling googletag.display             function isAdInAdsList(id) {             for (var i = 0; i < window.adsList.length; i++) {                 if (window.adsList[i].id === id) {                     return true;                 }             }             return false;         }         if (isAdInAdsList('js-dfp-tag--cw')) {             googletag.display('js-dfp-tag--cw');         }         });     <\/script> <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"video__inline\">\n<div class=\"video-placeholder\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>                       <script type=\"text\/javascript\">                       \/\/ Run Ex.co Script and mid-article placement                      (function (d, s, n) {                          var js, fjs = d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];                          js = d.createElement(s);                          js.className = n;                          js.src = \"http:\/\/player.ex.co\/player\/4c49b82f-103d-41ce-9191-ffa4d1f737fb\";                          fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js, fjs);                      }(document, 'script', 'exco-player'));                      \/\/ Ex.co placeholder div                      var element = document.getElementsByClassName('video-placeholder')[0];                      var excoDiv = document.createElement('div');                      excoDiv.id = '4c49b82f-103d-41ce-9191-ffa4d1f737fb';                      if (element && document.getElementById('4c49b82f-103d-41ce-9191-ffa4d1f737fb') == undefined) {                         element.append(excoDiv);                      }                     <\/script>                                                                     <\/p>\n<p class=\"body__disclaimer\">The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<p>        <script type=\"text\/javascript\">   \/\/ add oddAd class to every odd instance of body .ads__inline for different placeholder styles   let articleAds = document.querySelectorAll('.ads__inline');   for (let i = 0, len = articleAds.length; i < len; i++) {     \/\/ Do the below only if the curent count is less than 12     if ((i < 12) &#038;&#038; (i % 2 === 0)) {       articleAds[i].className += ' oddAd';     }   } <\/script>                                               <\/p>\n<div class=\"jupiter22-c-tags jupiter22-c-tags-default\">\n<h3 class=\"jupiter22-c-tags-title\">         Tags       <\/h3>\n<div class=\"jupiter22-c-tags-container\">Stocks<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>May NY world sugar #11 (SBK25) Monday closed up +0.54 (+2.95), and May London ICE white sugar #5 (SWK25) closed up +5.90 (+1.12%). Sugar prices Monday rose to 1-week highs on short covering and technical buying after last week&#8217;s sell-off. Commodity Bulletin: From crude oil to coffee, this FREE newsletter is for industry pros and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3937,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[18],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3936","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stock","entry","has-media"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3936","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3936"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3936\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3937"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3936"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3936"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3936"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}