{"id":21498,"date":"2025-09-19T20:12:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-20T00:12:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/2025\/09\/19\/coffee-prices-plummet-as-us-lawmakers-seek-tariff-exemptions-on-coffee\/"},"modified":"2025-09-19T20:12:00","modified_gmt":"2025-09-20T00:12:00","slug":"coffee-prices-plummet-as-us-lawmakers-seek-tariff-exemptions-on-coffee","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/2025\/09\/19\/coffee-prices-plummet-as-us-lawmakers-seek-tariff-exemptions-on-coffee\/","title":{"rendered":"Coffee Prices Plummet as US Lawmakers Seek Tariff Exemptions on Coffee"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"layout__region nsdq-l-grid__item syndicated-article-body\">\n<section class=\"jupiter22-c-article-body\">\n<div class=\"body\">\n<div class=\"body__content\">\n<p>December arabica coffee (KCZ25) on Friday closed down -14.35 (-3.77%), and November ICE robusta coffee (RMX25) closed down -312 (-7.02%).<\/p>\n<p>Coffee prices plummeted on Friday to 1-month lows after the Washington Post reported that US lawmakers plan to introduce a bill to exempt coffee-product imports from tariffs.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ads__inline\">\n<div id=\"js-dfp-tag-omA\"  class=\"btf-bodymidpagetwothirdswidth-1\">          <script type=\"text\/javascript\">         googletag.cmd.push(function() {             \/\/ Check if ID matches ID in the window.adsList array before calling googletag.display             function isAdInAdsList(id) {             for (var i = 0; i < window.adsList.length; i++) {                 if (window.adsList[i].id === id) {                     return true;                 }             }             return false;         }         if (isAdInAdsList('js-dfp-tag-omA')) {             googletag.display('js-dfp-tag-omA');         }         });     <\/script> <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>     <span>Don\u2019t Miss a Day: <\/span> From crude oil to coffee, sign up free for Barchart\u2019s best-in-class commodity analysis.  <\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The 50% tariffs imposed on Brazilian imports into the US have led to a sharp drawdown in ICE coffee inventories, a bullish factor for coffee prices. \u00a0ICE-monitored arabica inventories fell to a 16.75-month low of 654,224 bags on Friday. \u00a0ICE robusta coffee inventories fell to a 1.75-month low of 6,464 lots on Friday. \u00a0American buyers are voiding new contracts for purchases of Brazilian coffee beans due to the 50% tariffs imposed on US imports from Brazil, thereby tightening US supplies, as about a third of America's unroasted coffee comes from Brazil.<\/p>\n<p>A bumper robusta coffee crop in Vietnam is bearish for prices. \u00a0Vietnam's 2025\/26 coffee production is expected to climb +6% y\/y to 1.76 MMT, or 29.4 million bags, a 4-year high. \u00a0Also, the Vietnam National Statistics Office reported last Monday that Vietnam's Jan-Aug 2025 coffee exports were up +7.8% y\/y to 1.141 MMT. \u00a0Vietnam is the world's largest producer of robusta coffee.<\/p>\n<p>On Tuesday, Dec arabica posted a contract high and nearest-futures (U25) arabica posted a 7-month high, while robusta climbed to a 3-week high. \u00a0Coffee prices rose due to a lack of rain in Brazil's coffee-growing regions ahead of the critical flowering period for coffee trees. \u00a0Somar Meteorologia reported Monday that Brazil's largest arabica coffee-growing area, Minas Gerais, received no rain during the week ended September 13. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Coffee prices also garnered support Tuesday after the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration put the chance of a La Ni\u00f1a weather system in the southern hemisphere from October to December at 71%, which could bring excessive dry weather to Brazil and hurt the 2026\/27 coffee crop. \u00a0Brazil is the world's largest arabica coffee producer.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ads__inline\">\n<div id=\"js-dfp-tag-uhc\"  class=\"btf-bodymidpagetwothirdswidth-2\">          <script type=\"text\/javascript\">         googletag.cmd.push(function() {             \/\/ Check if ID matches ID in the window.adsList array before calling googletag.display             function isAdInAdsList(id) {             for (var i = 0; i < window.adsList.length; i++) {                 if (window.adsList[i].id === id) {                     return true;                 }             }             return false;         }         if (isAdInAdsList('js-dfp-tag-uhc')) {             googletag.display('js-dfp-tag-uhc');         }         });     <\/script> <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Coffee prices found support after Conab, Brazil's crop forecasting agency, cut its Brazil 2025 arabica coffee crop estimate on September 4 by -4.9% to 35.2 million bags from a May forecast of 37.0 million bags. \u00a0Conab also cut its total Brazil 2025 coffee production estimate by -0.9% to 55.2 million bags from a May estimate of 55.7 million bags.<\/p>\n<p>News of reduced coffee exports is supportive for prices after the International Coffee Organization (ICO) on September 3 reported that global July coffee exports fell -1.6% y\/y to 11.6 million bags, and cumulative Oct-Jul coffee exports fell -0.3% y\/y at 115.615 \u00a0million bags.<\/p>\n<p>Reduced exports from Brazil are supporting prices. \u00a0On August 6, Brazil's Trade Ministry reported that Brazil's July unroasted coffee exports fell -20.4% y\/y to 161,000 MT. \u00a0In related bullish news, exporter group Cecafe reported that Brazil's green coffee exports in July fell -28% y\/y to 2.4 million bags. \u00a0Cecafe reports that July arabica exports fell -21% y\/y, while robusta exports plunged -49% y\/y. \u00a0Cecafe said Brazil's July coffee exports fell -28% to 2.7 million bags, and that coffee shipments during Jan-July fell -21% to 22.2 million bags.<\/p>\n<p>Harvest pressures in Brazil are bearish for coffee prices after Brazil's Cooxupe coffee co-op announced Wednesday that the harvest among its members was 98.9% complete as of September 12. \u00a0Cooxupe is Brazil's largest coffee cooperative and Brazil's largest exporter group. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The USDA's Foreign Agriculture Service (FAS) projected on June 25 that world coffee production in 2025\/26 will increase by +2.5% y\/y to a record 178.68 million bags, with a -1.7% decrease in arabica production to 97.022 million bags and a +7.9% increase in robusta production to 81.658 million bags. \u00a0FAS forecasted that Brazil's 2025\/26 coffee production will increase by +0.5% y\/y to 65 million bags and that Vietnam's 2025\/26 coffee output will rise by 6.9% y\/y to a 4-year high of 31 million bags. \u00a0FAS forecasts that 2025\/26 ending stocks will climb by +4.9% to 22.819 million bags from 21.752 million bags in 2024\/25. \u00a0However, Volcafe is projecting a global 2025\/26 arabica coffee deficit of -8.5 million bags, wider than the -5.5 million bag deficit for 2024\/25 and the fifth consecutive year of deficits.\u00a0<\/p>\n<div class=\"ads__inline\">\n<div id=\"js-dfp-tag-524\"  class=\"btf-bodymidpagetwothirdswidth-3\">          <script type=\"text\/javascript\">         googletag.cmd.push(function() {             \/\/ Check if ID matches ID in the window.adsList array before calling googletag.display             function isAdInAdsList(id) {             for (var i = 0; i < window.adsList.length; i++) {                 if (window.adsList[i].id === id) {                     return true;                 }             }             return false;         }         if (isAdInAdsList('js-dfp-tag-524')) {             googletag.display('js-dfp-tag-524');         }         });     <\/script> <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>   <i>     On the date of publication,      Rich Asplund              did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes.          For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy      here. <\/i><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p> More news from Barchart <\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Sugar Prices Are Falling. Wait for Them to Hit This Level Before You Sell.<\/li>\n<li>Coffee Prices Soar, Then Collapse: Explaining the Wild Plunge in Coffee Futures & How to Track It<\/li>\n<li>Grain Market Update: Navigating Harvest Headwinds, What's Next for Corn and Soybeans?<\/li>\n<li>Soybean Traders: Unlock the Power of Spread Trading! Slash Volatility & Ride the 93% Seasonal Win Rate of this Spread! Ready to Learn This Game-Changer?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"body__disclaimer\">The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<p>        <script type=\"text\/javascript\">   \/\/ add oddAd class to every odd instance of body .ads__inline for different placeholder styles   let articleAds = document.querySelectorAll('.ads__inline');   for (let i = 0, len = articleAds.length; i < len; i++) {     \/\/ Do the below only if the curent count is less than 12     if ((i < 12) &#038;&#038; (i % 2 === 0)) {       articleAds[i].className += ' oddAd';     }   } <\/script>                                               <\/p>\n<div class=\"jupiter22-c-tags jupiter22-c-tags-default\">\n<h3 class=\"jupiter22-c-tags-title\">         Tags       <\/h3>\n<div class=\"jupiter22-c-tags-container\">Stocks<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>December arabica coffee (KCZ25) on Friday closed down -14.35 (-3.77%), and November ICE robusta coffee (RMX25) closed down -312 (-7.02%). Coffee prices plummeted on Friday to 1-month lows after the Washington Post reported that US lawmakers plan to introduce a bill to exempt coffee-product imports from tariffs. Don\u2019t Miss a Day: From crude oil to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":21499,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[18],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21498","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stock","entry","has-media"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21498","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21498"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21498\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21499"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21498"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21498"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sharewatch.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21498"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}