Exxon Mobil beats Q4 estimates on higher output

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Exxon Mobil has today beaten Wall Street’s estimate for fourth-quarter profit as higher oil and gas production offset lower oil prices and weaker refining margins.

Its adjusted profit was $7.39 billion or $1.67 per share, beating analyst estimates of $1.56, LSEG data showed.

Exxon’s low production costs in the basin and its lucrative and prolific projects in Guyana have bolstered the company’s profits despite lower oil prices and a decline in profits on making fuel.

The company became the largest oil producer in the Permian basin in 2024, the biggest US oilfield, after closing its acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources in May.

The biggest US oil producer reported earnings of $33.46 billion for 2024, down from $38.57 billion the year earlier.

Its fourth-quarter adjusted earnings from oil and gas production were $6.28 billion, up from $4.15 billion in the same quarter last year.

Production reached 4.6 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, growing from 4.58 billion in the third quarter.

Production of crude oil and natural gas liquids in the US grew almost 2% from the previous quarter to 1.47 million barrels per day.

But earnings from producing gasoline and diesel were $323m, a large fall from $3.2 billion a year earlier. The startup of new oil refineries by other companies in Asia and Africa led to higher global fuel supply, even as demand for gasoline and diesel lagged expectations.

The refining business remains under pressure as the additional supply enters the market, Chief Financial Officer Kathryn Mikells said in an interview.

“That’s really what we’re watching as we look ahead to 2025,” she said.

Exxon’s results were helped by lower corporate costs and showed mixed performance across the business, said BirajBorkhataria, an analyst at RBC Capital Markets, in a research note.

Chevron, the second-largest US oil company, reporting a loss in its refining business for the first time since 2020 and missed Wall Street’s earnings estimates.

Exxon said impairments across the business cost $608m in the fourth quarter. The charges come from selling assets, including a joint venture in Nigeria, Mikells said.

The company continues to expect a decision by September in its arbitration challenge to Chevron’s acquisition of oil producer Hess, she said. If Chevron proceeds, it would gain a foothold in Guyana’s oil projects.

While the deal has been approved by US regulators, Exxon and China’s Hess’ partners in the Guyana oil joint venture, say they have a contractualfirst right to buy Hess’ stake.

Shareholder returns via buybacks and dividends totaled $36 billion in 2024, up from $32 billion.

The shareholder distributions, a cornerstone of Big Oil’s strategy to court investors, were covered by Exxon’s free cash flow of $36.2 billion. The company plans to repurchase $20 billion in shares annually up to 2026.

Earnings from producing chemical products were $215m, up from $189ma year earlier. Exxon said earnings from specialty products was $759m, also up from $650m in the year-ago quarter.

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