BNP Paribas looks past tariff slowdown fears

bnp-paribas-looks-past-tariff-slowdown-fears

France’s BNP Paribas has today reported first-quarter earnings in line with expectations thanks to rising sales at its investment bank, and stuck with its profit forecasts despite a deteriorating economic outlook prompted by a global trade war.

The euro zone’s biggest bank by assets said that group net income over the first three months of the year fell by 4.9% from the same period a year earlier to €2.95 billion compared to the €2.94 billion consensus forecast.

BNP said that last year’s re-inclusion of its Ukrainian operation into its accounts fully explained the year-on-year decline.

The French lender’s three main divisions otherwise all posted an increase in pre-tax income, led by its corporate and institutional banking unit, which saw sales advance 12.5% to a record as turbulent financial markets spurred more client activity.

The bank mirrored similar performance seen at Wall Street rivals, including JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America and Citigroup.

Sales from equity trading and prime services jumped by 42% while revenue from trading in fixed income, currencies and commodities were up by 4.4%.

Group revenues climbed 3.8% to nearly €13 billion, also in line with analyst expectations.

“BNP delivered a mixed set of results benefiting from strong trends in CIB while elsewhere performance was better/worse than expected and loan losses remained low,” Royal Bank of Canada said in an early note to clients, adding that the “outlook is uncertain in our view.”

BNP is the first of the big European banks to report this quarter. After US President Donald Trump unleashed a global trade war at the start of April all eyes are on the outlook and how banks expect to navigate an anticipated slowdown in economic growth that could hit loan demand.

European bank shares have tumbled in April, although they partly rebounded this week as the Trump administration signalled a willingness to de-escalate the trade war with China.

The bank’s chief executive Jean-Laurent Bonnafe sought to paint a positive picture, saying BNP was well-positioned to benefit from any increased corporate activity created by Germany and the European Union’s big fiscal spending plans, as the region tries to rebuild its militaries and revive economic growth.

In written comments, Bonnafe did not address the economic outlook and Trump’s tariffs.

He confirmed BNP’s 2024-2026 targets published in February, including an average annual growth in net income of more than 7% and an annual average growth in sales of more than 5%.

BNP’s first-quarter numbers also showed sluggish performance at its retail business, especially at Italian unit BNL.

The French lender said it has achieved nearly a third of the €600m in additional cost cuts targeted for this year, more than half of which will come from its commercial division.

The savings are part of a broader €3.3 billion cost-cutting plan up to 2026.

Further details on a strategic overhaul of its French retail unit, which will likely contribute to the savings, are expected in June.

BNP’s car-leasing division Arval suffered an 11.8% decline in sales as used cars prices continued to fall.

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