Oil prices dip as demand fears overshadow Fed rate cut

oil-prices-dip-as-demand-fears-overshadow-fed-rate-cut

Oil prices dropped today as worries over fuel demand outweighed expectations that the year’s first interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve would trigger more consumption.

Brent crude futures were down 31 cents, or 0.5%, at $67.13 a barrel this afternoon, while US West Texas Intermediate futures lost 41 cents, or 0.6%, to $63.16.

Both benchmarks were still on track for a second consecutive weekly gain.

The Fed cut its policy rate by a quarter of a percentage point on Wednesday and indicated that more cuts would follow as it responded to signs of weakness in the jobs market.

Lower borrowing costs typically boost demand for oil and push prices higher.

“The market has been caught between conflicting signals,” said Priyanka Sachdeva, an analyst at Phillip Nova.

On the demand side, all energy agencies, including the Energy Information Administration, have signalled concern about weakening demand, tempering expectations of significant near-term price upside, Sachdeva said.

“On the supply side, planned production increases from OPEC+ and signs of oversupply in US fuel product inventories are weighing on sentiment,” she added.

A higher than expected increase of 4 million barrels to US distillate stockpiles raised worries over demand in the world’s top oil consumer and pressured prices.

The latest economic data also added to concerns, with the US jobs market softening while single-family homebuilding plunged to a multi-year low in August amid a glut of unsold new houses.

One factor holding back oil prices is an uneven economic recovery, particularly in the US, said PVM Oil Associates analyst Tamas Varga.

“The corporate sector is benefiting from ongoing deregulation, whereas consumers are beginning to feel the strain of import tariffs, with both the labour and housing markets showing signs of weakness,” he said.

In Russia, finance ministry plans to shield the state budget from oil price fluctuations and Western sanctions eased some supply concerns.

The European Commission will propose banning Russian LNG imports by January 1, 2027, a year earlier than planned, as part of a 19th package of sanctions against Moscow, EU sources said today.

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